Week 14: Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ NEW YORK JETS

Vegas Line: Chiefs + 10

Rob’s Line: Chiefs + 8.5

Consider that with five minutes remaining in Washington last week, the New York Jets trailed the Redskins 16-13 before scoring 21 points in a crazy end to the game. I believe Vegas to have overestimated that win. Sorry, my mistake…I believe the public to have overestimated that win because this line opened up with the Jets minus nine.

It has to be believed that Kansas City would like to be able to start Kyle Orton at quarterback, but he’s been limited in practice this week due to the finger injury he sustained on his only pass attempt against the Bears last Sunday, his original team back in 2005. He’ll be questionable at best, which means there’s every chance that the Chiefs will hand Tyler Palko his fourth consecutive start. However, it almost feels as though it doesn’t matter who starts at QB for KC as they’ve scored only 28 points over the course of their past five games and seeing as they’re facing a Jet defense ranked 15th against the run and seventh against the pass, that five game average of less than six points per contest doesn’t look like improving.
Since losing heavily to New England four weeks ago, the Jets have kept their last three games close, winning two and losing one only on another miracle Tim Tebow last minute drive, which puts them in good company, so no disgrace perhaps. On the contrary, that defeat stung Gang Green and they hated becoming another stat victim to Tebow.
Mark Sanchez continues to hear boos at home games as soon as he throws just one incompletion it seems and this week he’s up against a Chiefs defense that ranks a healthy twelfth against the pass and seeing as he’s averaging one interception per game in his last five, I would expect KC to collect at least one this week. However, as we know, if and when it happens, if it isn’t a pick six, how will the Chiefs get the ball into the end zone?
This could be a low scoring affair. We’ve discussed the Chiefs, but the Jets, for a team with wildcard aspirations, rank only 24th running the ball and 20th passing it so if we really can get Kansas City plus ten points, I’m liking our chances. I’m not at all confident asking the Jets to cover double digits and can only assume that it’s rabid New Yorkers pushing this spread out even further in favour of the Chiefs. I don’t like betting on bad teams (and who should?), but this bad team has a defense playing solidly right now and it’s that unit that I’m depending on.

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