INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 
Vegas Line: Colts + 20.5
Rob’s Line: Colts + 18.5
This is the highest spread I can remember and yes, the Colts have absolutely no chance of coming anywhere close to pulling off the upset. So why didn’t I just give New England a three touchdown handicap?
I haven’t simply because I’d be happy to ask the Patriots to try to cover by three touchdowns and I’m defeinitely taking Indianapolis and the points.
It’s difficult to sit here and feasibly argue why you should risk seeing Tom Brady light up the scoreboard as you fret over your hard earned going south. I’m taking the Colts because the Patriots are currently tied with Baltimore and Houston for homefield advantage throughout the playoffs and I see them looking beyond this Sunday and to the rest of their schedule.
They’ll want this one out of the way as quickly as possible and next week they travel to Washington to face what appears to be a slightly resurgent Redskins. That’s followed by a tricky trip to Denver before divisional games at home to Miami and Buffalo. This one here is by far the easiest game and with bigger fish to fry in the coming weeks as they push for the number one seed in the AFC, they could easily take their foot off the pedal as this game reaches its conclusion.
That does depend on how big a lead they’ve built by then, but I’m wary of asking the Patriots to keep a three touchdown lead with an eye on more difficult games to come to close the regular season.
It may be viewed as a flimsy reason to bet on the worst team in the NFL, but I have experience down the years of having my fingers burnt when relying too heavily on good teams overcoming poor ones.
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