The
Green Bay Packers do a lot of things well, on and off the field, too many to
list here. One thing they don’t do well is defend the run. Their numbers from
last season show that they gave up 111.8 rushing yards per game, 14th
in the league, a figure that’s acceptable when Aaron Rodgers is your
quarterback.
Welcome to my Yard, where you can follow my look at the week's NFL games, how I view the Vegas points spread and which teams I see as the best value
September 24, 2012
September 22, 2012
NFL Odds, Week 3: Around the League
This darned
spread betting is difficult to judge at the best of times. The best of times
are anywhere after Week 4, when statistical lines are becoming consistent and,
more importantly, the pattern begins to emerge of which teams are covering the
spread or, as is the vernacular, winning ATS (against the spread).
September 19, 2012
NFL Odds, Week 2: Around the League
I can only
hope you heeded my advice last week. Against my better judgement, I decided to
proffer an opinion on every game in Week 1 of the NFL, giving those of you who
thrive on the challenge of outwitting the sportsbooks a look at where you could
have placed your hard earned.
Having already
warned caveat emptor, I did treat it as an exercise in
enjoyment, taking a relatively light hearted look at the schedule, just to
gauge how good or bad my predictions would look after the first sixteen games
of the season.
September 12, 2012
NFL Odds, Week 2: Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks
DALLAS COWBOYS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Be careful what you wish for. I might mean Russell Wilson being anointed the starting quarterback in Seattle or Kevin Kolb taking over for an injured John Skelton in the fourth quarter last Sunday. Or both.
Be careful what you wish for. I might mean Russell Wilson being anointed the starting quarterback in Seattle or Kevin Kolb taking over for an injured John Skelton in the fourth quarter last Sunday. Or both.
September 05, 2012
NFL Odds, Week 1: Around the League
Having already given you my ‘can’t miss’ bet of the week
(the ‘Aaron Curry’, as it shall now become known), when laying it on pretty
thick how much of a good thing the Seahawks are against the spread (ATS) this
week in Arizona, it’s time to introduce you to how the rest of the NFL is
shaping up in the various sportsbooks online...if you aren’t fortunate enough
to be in Vegas.
NFL Odds, Week 1: Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Please
gamble responsibly. That’s the sage advice that rightfully accompanies any
betting advertisement. Last year, I gave spread betting advice on every game of
the 2011 season (that can still be seen at Rob’s NFL Yard, but why would you
wish to revisit that?), which, while proving to be almost the most fun you can
have on this side of the pond, I quickly grew to realise that tipping up teams
based on the spread on offer in Vegas (or elsewhere, as I’ll be pointing out
this season) can prove ridiculously treacherous; hardly responsible tipping. If
I may be so bold as to type this, it’s one thing to pick your winners from
scratch, quite another when trying to justify why your hard earned should be
placed with faith on the Rams +7 points at home to the Cowboys.
NFL Preseason: Seattle Seahawks @ Kansas City Chiefs
Pete
Carroll, you’ve made me start all over again. I had the perfect pitch for this
post. Russell Wilson, as had been the case in the first two preseason games,
would heed the call for the second half in Kansas City this week after Matt
Flynn had hopefully impressed enough over the first two quarters and I was
going to write how the Seahawks were the biggest of all locks this week on the
handicap because of it.
NFL Preseason: Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Not
a bad way to begin matters, eh? Last Saturday went very smoothly. One down and
we own a 100% record.
Oh
yeah, and the Seahawks dismantled the Titans of Tennessee, 27-17.
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